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irreparable damage to the u.s. economy. >>> and jump t to the top of the ftse 100 after third quarter revenue beat the forecast, burberry had earnings higher than expected. >>> all right. sorted out my mike issues. "worldwide exchange" is slightly different today because we're analyzing the first german gdp numbers. >> and i come to the u.s. where it's all annualized and we stick to the european data and it's quarter on quarter. given the context, we're still working through what all that means. >> exports in november, down 94.1 billion is where we essentially went. 98.4 billion was the october numbers. so exports in november driving down. and that gdp number is worth pulling out. exports for the year, up 4.1%. as far as production is concerned, it was up 2% in november. but the forecast were for it to rise up 1%. it was a very weak october, as well. it was this production and that production number. when that came out, it essentially made people put a pretty fourth quarter in the whole, kelly. what we're trying to do is derive what the annual figure was. >> exactly. and before we get to that
the world. china's economy rebounds into the fourth quarter, beating expectations and snapping seven straight quarters of slow growth. >>> the british government says there's no indication that the hostage crisis is over in algeria as the reports emerge that doesz may have been killed in a rescue operation. >>> investors are unnerved by big spending plans in 2013. plus, glencore pushes back its mega merger by weeks as the regulatory commission begin necessary south africa. >>> welcome to the program. i want to bring you some breaking news in terms of energy prices. the iea is out with its latest 2013 oil report. it expects u.s. oil demand to remain flat on the year. but the headline here does appear that the market, according to the iea language here, is tighter than we thought. all of a sudden, the market looks tighter than we thought. that's the main message we're getting from the organization. it says the world forecast to consume about 90.8 million barrels per day in 2013, up by about a quarter of a million since december. despite seeing the u.s. slight to even negative, seen as
for not crashing the american economy. >> the republican game of chicken is over. eric cantore proposes a three-month deal on the debt ceiling. some democrats are calling it a trap. i'll ask dnc chairwoman debbie wasserman schultz what she thinks. it's do or die time for filibuster reform and democrats are about to drop the ball. >> nos,, sir, i will not yield. tonight, my message to senator harry reid. plus the american people are getting ripped off by a congress that just isn't working. congressman rick nolan was there is 30 years ago. he's back now and he can't believe the difference. he's wondering, are we getting paid for this? >>> is it really an admission of guilt if you don't show any remorse? >> it did not even feel wrong? >> no. it's scary. >> did you feel bad about it? >> no. even scarier. >> psychologist dr. jeffrey gardere on lance armstrong's bizarre performance last night. >> good to have you with us tonight, folks. thanks for watching. republicans surrendered today in one of their biggest fights. president obama warned republicans about taking the debt ceiling hostage. it looks
to do is have that take place when the republican position on the debt takes the economy hostage. that is off the table. i think the president is smart to be firm and clear on that. next time it would be democrats if we had a republican president. ashley: would you agree, i know it is out of your area, but the senate has not passed a budget in four years now. would you agree with republicans that it is not the way to go and i could, in fact, be breaking the law without i do agree with them. we actually have not passed the budget. i am with them on this concern about our inability to actually do the basic work that a legislature must do. ashley: i know bernanke, timothy geithner, rating agencies and many more states what is the point of a debt ceiling? we routinely raise it anyway. what is the purpose? >> there is no purpose. the debt ceiling has become a device for fiscal irresponsibility. republicans and democrats both dated. senator obama voted against the debt ceiling increase. if we have this credit downgrade, and we had a credit downgrade, as you know, last august. we have t
's stories. the big one, china aes economy rebounding in the final quarter of to 12. growth to 7.9%, up from 7.4% the appreciate quarter. economists do caution, though, that a chinese recovery is likely to be gradual and weak to drive a global rebound without improvement in the u.s. and europe. also, the fate of dozens of hostages in algeria is still unknown. the algerian military stormed a gas field where the workers were being held. six people if not more are believed to have been killed. >>> a team of experts from boeing and the aviation experts are arriving in japan today. today the japan transportation safety board released a picture of the battery. they said the battery was blackened and carbonized, had a bulge in the middle and weighed 11 pounds less than normal. >>> and the interview everybody is talking about, i stayed up late to watch it, lance armstrong telling oprah that he cheated. >> in all seven of your tour de france victories, did you ever take banned substances or blood dope? >> yes. i view the situation as one big lie that i've repeated a lot of times. i'll spend the rest
as well as the global economy. according to rex macy it is. he thinks there's a good chance that risk fears will rise and, therefore, the market will pull back. will that be the moment for investors to get in. good to see you, gentlemen. thanks so much for joining us. what are you expecting in terms of this market 2013? >> sure. well, right now we're at 1472 on the s&p. we think it's going to go marginally higher from here, but it's not going to be a smooth ride. we've got a vix at 13 and change. that's too low. that's where the complacency comes from. you see it there. as we move into the debt ceiling debate, it can be far harder to solve than the taxes, we think the market can be down for a while, and before it comes back up. >> so you're looking for a decline, and perhaps that is an entry point for some. do you agree with that? >> i think any decline is an opportunity to buy, maria. i'm very, very bullish on u.s. equities and one of the main reasons i am the u.s. energy story which i think is a story that's not being told as well as it should be. in 2012 the u.s. oil production was
is happening over in europe. germany seeing a contraction in their economy. whether or not it is a recession still a little too early to say. as a result of what is happening in europe these stocks are down. gm was down over 4% today, big loss for the car companies because of europe. liz: and two vix etfs, volatility exchange traded funds, hitting new 52-week highs. even though the volatility index continues to tumble. what you see are two where you can make bearish bets on the vix, that would make sense, right? xiv, as you see. we've got them moving higher today. david: the battle over the debt ceiling and paying the bills that d.c. is racking up continues. representative jerry nadler, happens to be my representative, he is looking to stop future fights. he has introduced legislation to end the debt ceiling debate by getting rid of the debt ceiling all together. but would that give too much power to the president? that is the argument. that is the debate. we'll take you and jerry nadler there coming up. liz: germany's central bank pulling some of its gold out of new york and paris. we have
hurting the economy, delaying hiring plans, capital investment plans and really everything from auto dealers in cleveland to farmers down in texas have cited the fiscal cliff as a major concern. that's something that's influencing their decision making right now. >> you would expect that given the fact that everybody is in lockdown mode as we wait to figure out what our tax rates are going to be, where the spending cuts are going to be, that it is going to impact the economy. my question is how much of an m impact going to see earnings? are they going to get hit? >> that's the key to the whole thing. as we said, the beige book numbers, when they came out there were cents. see earnings coming out, we will see comments and none are going to be positive. none will be excited about the future, and stock prices and multiples expand when people feel possible about the future. going to impact them? numbers might come in spot on. the whisper numbers, everyone is looking for, meaning hoping the numbers are a little bit bitter. i think as numbers come in, we'll start to see very little moveme
is the economy is getting better. the equity markets have improved. standard & poor's 500 was up. the s&p 500 was up 13%, 14%, up 4% year to date. >> right. >> the economy is starting to show good signs. as long as we don't have it derailed in washington. >> i was just going to ask. >> i think things could get better. >> could washington still screw this up? >> absolutely. i don't think it takes much to have another debt ceiling debate and debacle would not be helpful here. i think there's so much minon the sidelines between the retail investor and the corporate america today, has so much money to invest. get rid of some of that uncertainty and this economy will go. i'm quite bullish about that. >> can you provide guidance for this year without knowing exactly what washington is going to come up with? >> we gave a range. we don't give guidance. we give a range on a conservative side and optimistic side. we're right inside that range. had a great start to the year. we're ahead of consensus. we her record asset gathering and record guidance sales and great control. had a great start. >> had a g
believes that's going to be the major thing to turn around the japanese economy. cheryl: i mean it's almost a currency war, if you will. i mean they are getting into a very crowded space, and with the pressure that we have seen in particular on the dollar, over the last two years, i mean, i'm wondering what that means for us. >> absolutely. they are starting to step on the toes of the fed. you know, the fed has been really priming the pump here, printing money, printing money in efforts to keep the dollar as weak as possible in this risk off type scenario market. so now some of these other central banks are now starting to fight back a bit, and the bank of japan has probably been the most aggressive in doing so with some of the easing that they have already done. cheryl: do you think they will do more easing? is that what you think is going to be the headline here? >> we have pretty much baked into the cake that they will be raising the inflation target to 2% from 1%. they are probably going to extend their asset purchases. they're really talking about different measures to dramatically wea
to make the world economy more green. that's $14 trillion. joining me now, the heritage foundation who focuses on energy, environmental regulatory issues. i have to tell you, you have to hear what they say. the former mexican president talking about the goal here. economic growth and sustainability are interdependent. you cannot have one without the other. what do you say? >> well, if that is the case what we need to subsidize it with taxpayer dollars? if this is such a profitable idea, if the green energy market is a multitrillion-dollar economy, then let the ceos and venture-capital this figure that out. while this been a your money in my money? it makes economic sense. this culture of promoting these ideas with government capitol only creates government welfare or corporate welfare and creates corporate dependence. gerri: companies that fail as we talked about some many times in the show. whether you're talking about solyndra or a number of others that our government financed. you would think that maybe these are just wacked-out the trees coming of the wild ideas. and back, this gre
. defaulting on our fiscal obligations would hit the economy harder than that cliff we narrowly avoided and will face again. a report put out by jpmorgan in 2011 exploited the myth going around a few missed payments would be no big deal. they said any delay by the treasury would have ripple effects similar to the aftermath of the lehman brother collapse. not sure that's true but it's serious. this is all caused by the dell ceiling. the u.s. is the only other country other than denmark that uses this tool. that's why ben bernanke has joined critics questioning why the u.s. needs a debt ceiling. >> i think it would be a good thing if we didn't have it. i don't think that's going to happen. i think it's going to be around. but i hope that congress will allow the government to pay its bills. >> ron brownstein is cnn senior political analyst and editorial director at the "national journal." good to see you. the public debt stands at more than $16 trillion. in and of itself it may not be as serious a problem as some make it out to be, especially when it costs the government about 1.8% a year
stronger in the second half. >> for the economy? i think we have to divorce the economy from the market. >> have we been price thatting that out? >> we have to be clear that markets are totally different from the economy. for the markets, we're looking at 2% scenario. scenario a would be similar to 2012 where i think actually the economy doesn't do that well. the first half is difficult. second half is a bit better. we've still got the fed printing 5 billion a month. we could see a rerun of 2012. maybe mid to single high digit returns. >> did you get exposure of citi to bofa here? >> we wouldn't be. we're taking a little bit of money off the table or indeed i think we did. the level of implied volatility makes perfect sense here. >> we'll leave it here for now. thanks very much. over to you, ross. >> kelly, thanks for that. so we are just about an hour and 20 minutes into the trading day here in europe. you can see advancers just about outpace decliners by a ratio of 6 to 4 and we're up near the high point of the session which has dragged us back into prospect on that particular indices
in 2014. the moves do follow heavy pressure from shinzo abe despite reflation and a flagging economy. but the yen actually settled higher with some economists. look at that. that is suggesting they ended up almost 1.2% above the dollar. there's questions whether the 2% dollar stated can be achieved. now there's plenty more on the boj's inflation packed with the government live. hi. >> hi, kelly. the bank of japan and the government issued a joint statement that set a 2% inflation target today replacing its current 1% price. from japan's monetary policy has shifted into unexplored territory. the boj agreed to try and hit the 2% target as quickly as possible rather than over the medium to long-term. but the target will probably be difficult to meet. forecasts released by the bank showed that the consumer price index will rise to just 0.9% in the fiscal year starting in 2014. boj officials said that the 2% target will be possible if the country's growth potential is improved by further government reform. the joint statement is binding for both the government and the boj calling on both
on the economy and that, but not at the expense of social security, medicare, and medicaid >> we, the people, still believe that every citizen deserves a basic measure of security and dignity. we must make the hard choices to reduce the cost of health care and the size of our deficit. but we reject the belief that america must choose between caring for the generation that built this country and investing in the generation that will build its future. lori: the president giving his second inaugural address this morning. rich edson now joining us from washington d.c., and that was certainly a politically partisan address we heard from the president. >> reporter: well, it was a defense of the political theory, awaited the u.s. should be governed and should govern itself. i would almost characterize it as something along the lines of a response to what we heard from president reagan in 1981 when he said government is not the solution to our problems, it is the problem. president obama making the case that the government is not necessarily our problem. together we could do great things. together w
to a better economy. keys to your house, a new house hopefully. connell: let's talk about the markets. nicole petallides starts us off as she does each day with stocks now. nicole: taking a look at a market that really has shown strength over the last seven of the past nine weeks. the dow trading as high as 13,682 prior to pulling back here into negative territory. we are seeing multi- year highs. while they see the trend to the upside, they rally to resist it levels. i wanted to take a look. it was lower in the free market. the cfo, chief financial officer, gave an outlook for 2013. it is now trading higher on this conference call. their wireless margins took a jump. a good outlook. back to you. dagen: thank you. congress is heading back to work just one day after president asked both parties to come together and stand behind his visions. connell: house republicans may be less than willing to join him. rich: so is the bipartisan goodwill. the effects of the inauguration starting to disappear a bit from washington. some tourists remaining in town. we expect them to drop the same lines we have
catastrophic results for many americans and the overall economy. he warned markets would go haywire if congress does not act, interest rates would rise, and checks to social security beneficiaries would stop. and he said even thinking about the u.s. not paying its bills is irresponsible and, "absurd". darren gersh reports. >> reporter: in his first news conference of the new year the president gave a harsh lecture to republicans about the need to raise the debt ceiling and he once again said there was no way he'd negotiate with congress about something it should do anyway. >> they will not collect a ransom in exchange for not crashing the american economy. the financial well-being of the american people is not leverage to be used. the full faith and credit of the united states of america is not a bargaining chip. >> reporter: republicans called the president hypocritical for saying he will not negotiate over the debt limit while blasting republicans for refusing to negotiate. and they fired back that the debate over the debt ceiling was the perfect time to consider legislation to cut spending.
invests to see our economy grow. the one silver bullet in deficit reduction is economic growth. we need to get out of this circle we're in right now and start talking about growth. how we start moving the economy forward because we'll never get out of the hole otherwise. melissa: stephen, that is a great point. do you move the economy forward and grow by raising taxes, do you think. >> president obama at one point believed we do not. he argued in twine and 2010 you would hurt economic growth if you raised taxes at time the economy was struggling. that is what he argued at time. melissa: what do you think, steven. raising taxes grows the economy or -- >> no, it does not grow the economy. we have to be serious how much the president contributed to overall debt picture. $6 trillion since he came to office. nearly $20,000 per united states citizen has been added since president obama came into office. so just silly to argue he hasn't contributed. melissa: blame game gets us nowhere because everybody contributed to it. god it is a mess and we have to fix it. when you hear people like nancy p
and the health of the u.s. economy as hostages. >> they will not collect our ransom in exchange for crashing the american economy. the financial well-being of the american people is not leveraged to be used. the full faith and credit of the united states of america is not a bargaining chip. and they better choose quickly because time is running short. >> now, house speaker john boehner responded quickly saying house republicans will do the right thing. they will be responsible, they will meet america's obligations and make sure the government does not shut down. he tried to take that specter off the table. but this is a very tough fight that's getting more and more problematic, larry, because the president said he's going to break the habit of crisis-driven fiscal negotiations. if he's going to succeed in that, somebody is going to have to break and it may have to be soon because treasury secretary geithner said this afternoon we could hit the debt ceiling and exhaust all the extraordinary measures he's been taking as soon as one month from now. >> you know, john, 2010, 2011, the 2012 he neg
the economy. >> we talk to white house strategist david plouffe and our powerhouse roundtable, abc's george will, matthew dowd and cokie roberts plus former michigan governor, jennifer granholm, for the democrats and former presidential candidate rick santorum for the republicans. ♪ plus, how will the inaugural set the tone for the second term? we ask the star co-chairing the president's committee. eva longoria joins us live. >>> hello again, and welcome to inauguration day. it is, in fact, today. the constitution says a president's term ends at noon on january 20th, and the official proceedings have already begun. just moments ago, vice president biden took the oath at the naval observatory. supreme court justice sonia sotomayor swearing him in and just before noon chief justice john roberts will swear in president obama, a small private ceremony at the white house in advance of tomorrow's public event. about 800,000 expected right there at the national mall tomorrow far fewer than turned out four years ago for the first inaugural for president obama even everything just about set on the
, in immigration reform and, above all, in what we have to do to invest to grow our economy and grow opportunity. >> pelley: you know, i don't think gun safety would have been at the top of the president's agenda two months ago but after newtown, of course, it has become -- >> it's impossible to turn away from it now. it's impossible. >> pelley: which leads to the question: what do you expect to see from the president in terms of resolve on this as we get farther from the tragedy itself? >> well, i think you saw in the president's announcement, i think it was last week after the vice president's series of recommendations, what the contours of his proposal will be in terms of an assault weapons ban, a limitation on access to military style clips with multiple rounds in them. i think he's shown consistently a willingness to reach out to gun owners, sports men and women and hunters to make sure their interests are respected, consistent not just with the second amendment but consistent with their reasonable interests. but i think the idea of insisting that we do what we can as a federal and as state
anyway. >> they will not collect a ransom in exchange for not crashing the american economy. the financial well-being of the american people is not leverage to be used. the full faith and credit of the united states of america is not a bargaining chip. >> reporter: republicans called the president hypocritical for saying he will not negotiate over the debt limit while blasting republicans for refusing to negotiate. and they fired back that the debate over the debt ceiling was the perfect time to consider legislation to cut spending. at the same time, only a handful of republicans have actually said they'd let the united states default on its bills. >> the president claims this, but republicans have always raised the debt ceiling. we've never seen the debt limit fail to be raised. all they have said is we want to apply the same criteria that the president himself applied when he was a senator and say we don't want to give the president a blank check. we would like to fix the substantive problem which is the level and the growth in the debt. >> reporter: markets are almost tre
about the u.s. economy, the turning in the house prices, europe, for example, these things will make an extraordinary amount of money even if they require more capital because banks are extremely leveraged institutions. and you only need a small amount of top line growth for them to make a lot of profits. >> if you to pick u.s. banks versus the rest of the world, what do you like for 2013? >> it bizarre thing is that last year everybody was upset about the masters of the universe and were talking up their retail and sort of consumer arms because credit losses were falling. interestingly, this year i suspect bank with more exposure to independent banking will probably do a lot better much to the chagrin of politicians i suspect. why is that? the m&a pipeline's looking all right. u.s. economy's looking slightly better. and we're still pre-basal 3. >> we'll leave it there. lex on wex, can we use that? >> yeah. >> is that all right with you? >> fine by me. >> lex on wex. >> stuart, thank you very much. we will be talking later about divestment. merger and acquisition activity this year d
sensitive to the economy commodity in the world. ip took out a lot of capacity. ip is a genius. this company's had an unmitigated run. capacity's constrained, prices going up, 95% of capacity. that is like -- you can put the price increase after price increase, that says the economy is much stronger than expected. this is the first commodity to raise prices big when things get better. they're raising prices consistently. very bullish. >> that is a great, great tell. still more to come this morning. get ready for an ipo hat trick, sunco energy partners, norwegian cruise lines, all making their debuts this morning. stick around to see how they open for trading. the opening bell is just a few minutes away. what are you doing? nothing. are you stealing our daughter's school supplies and taking them to work? no, i was just looking for my stapler and my... this thing. i save money by using fedex ground and buy my own supplies. that's a great idea. i'm going to go... we got clients in today. [ male announcer ] save on ground shipping at fedex office. ♪ [ indistinct shouting ] [ male announcer ] t
market economy and grow the business in a slow growth world economy. again, reflecting slow growth overall. i think they had strong numbers when it came to agency. some of those numbers up by 18%. volume was driven by agriculture with robust tales in latin america and a strong selling to the north american selling season along with increases in asia pacific for performance materials, electronics and communications and performance chemicals. >> the stock was higher a year and a half ago or so. but in terms of the last year, it's getting -- it's sort of the in the mid point of the trend. coming back, at least trying to get back to where it was earlier. all-time highs are at about 58. >> in corporate headlines, more developments in the boeing story. there are indications now that the dream liner could stay grounded longer than initially anticipated. investigators turning to the maker of the lithium ion batteries that are used in the planes. that is gsyausa. investigators visited the batterymaker yesterday. shares of boeing have started getting to the low end of the range after some ch
tomorrow? >> there's atmospheric differences. we had an economy collapsing all around us and he was a first term president and still putting together his team and agenda and cabinet and still the economy is too weak but recovering and the question is right now building on that as opposed to simply trying to stem the bleeding. there's a big difference and i think the experience of the office, as you know, you know, that helps a lot and so i think he does have even more sure-footedness in his approach. >> it can become a bit of a burden. historians write about the second term curse and i know you and your team spent a lot of time studying how to avoid that. what's the key? >> well, i think, listen, if you look at president clinton's second term, he made significant progress on balanced budgets and ronald reagan accomplished tax reforms. >> even if they're dealing with other problems. >> and we have been fortunate to be scandal-free and we want to continue that, but if you look, it's not like we're roaming around the west wing looking for things to do. right now in front of congress and the co
the world as we continue. stay with us. lou: the obama economy in tonight's "chalk talk" we take a look at the obama economic failure. anti-gun advocate started as seven democrat, and day distort his campaign ad. he supports the second amendment steven haze of the weekly standard, a former bush special assistant to next. ♪ [ male announcer ] where do you turn for legal matters? at legalzoom, we've created a better place to handle your legal needs. maybe you have questions about incorporating a business you'd like to start. or questions about protecting your family with a will or living trust. and you'd like to find the right attorney to help guide you along, answer any questions and offer advice. with an "a" rating from the better business bureau legalzoom helps you get personalized and affordable legal protection. in most states, a legal plan attorney is available with every personalized document to answer any questions. get started at legalzoom.com today. and now you're protected. [ male announcer ] how do you turn an entrepreneur's dream... ♪ into a scooter that talks to the clou
to be a bit of a struggle, and i think it's all about the guidance going forward. you know, the economy, you know, two steps forward, one step back, and corporate america can't carry the water. it will be difficult for the market, and priced pretty much to perfection at the current level with popular averages, not leaving room for disappointment. liz: hate one step forward, two back -- >> no, the other way. liz: either way, not moving fast. is that at a decent clip? >> actually, that's something we talked about last week on the show, and what we're looking at, again, south africa, right now, the mining situation is getting worse and worse, and -- liz: labor issues? >> the strikes, strikes, labor issues, and a threat that some of the major companies are shutting down the mines until they resolve this. we'll have a shortage in these areas, and, also, seeing platinum taking a bit of a piggy back ride up. it's at the 1680s mirroring where gold is now. silver is joining along for the ride. we're seeing a lot happening with the precious metals. liz: platinum is higher than gold for the first time
? to as to save the economy. are you happy with how things are going? or power panel is here with what should be happening. for all you brides and grooms to my being the case of cold feet, don't despair. a new company lets you buy and sell your wedding. all you have to worry about is the person elected the altar. the woman behind this new business, even when they say it's not, it's always about "money." all right. we start with the first to announce plans on how exactly it hopes to pay for obamacare. a little bit surprising. republican arizona governor says that the tax increase interstate is the answer. the governor proposing a new hospital provided tax, and this is on topple all the taxes we were just three weeks ago. a number of experts and even some hospitals are on board with the governor's new tax hike. with me now is one of them. from the university of arizona public health policy and management professor. welcome to the show. do you think this is a good idea? >> good evening. i think that for arizona this is a very novel and innovative approach to solving a particularly difficult dile
and the economy in general. and about the market. let's start with the news, the market had a great day today. the s&p 500 close to or at a five-year high right now. why is the market doing so well even though the economy is still kind of in a slow move? >> david, nobody can explain the day-to-day moves in the market anmatter how hard we try. the market discounts well in advance of what we mere morals are able to do for my day-to-day. other days you're not sure why. i would be hazarding a guess, i don't know why. david: a lot of people have speculated about this from the "wall street journal" and others that it is the contention in the specific intention of the federal reserve over the past year or so to pump up the market. is that true? >> certainly this is in effect have a much lower interest rates. you can do the math, historically low rates for corporations in america public or private, large or small. medium-sized. have a very small balance sheets, redoing the balance sheet, reposition their debt at much lower prices. it'd just get some clarity as you know, a little more clarity, a lot m
. beyond that, it's dependent upon the state of the economy. that's going to be a determinate factor. >> you say 18 months. you say 100 days. you're tough. >> 100 days, then we'll see. >> there's a new political article i want to go on. it says democratic senators in red states may break with the white house. part of the quote from the article reads as follows -- senior democratic senators and aides say the president must face a stark political reality even as he begins his second term as commander in chief. newly reelected and emboldened red state democrats as well as senators up for reelection in 2014 want and need to show independence from the white house. so if that's the case, how much does that affect the president's second-term agenda? >> it's a big challenge. take an issue like gun control. like joe manchin, he said he's opposed to the assault weapons ban and everything obama is doing on gun control. the president wants to get through immigration, gun control. he wants to raise taxes probably again. and the challenge on those issues is, those democrats are, the president does
of the economy. a discussion about the fed earlier in terms of the beige book numbers. what do you think that tells us on where we are in the economy? >> look at numbers of the last week or two, retail production numbers for december, and they were actually pretty good. of course, the employment numbers we already know were soiled, and this is in a period where the uncertainty over the fiscal cliff was reaching a maximum. you know, maria, you think that's pretty encouraging that the economy has managed to cope with a high level of uncertainty. now the thing that kind of bothers me though is i'm a little bit worried that this coping is flipping over to complacency. the vix is now at a six-year low, and it tells me that the market is discounting 100% probability that we get through the debt ceiling without any trouble. that seems too high to me. >> so do you think the market is expecting that? i mean, when would you expect a big change in terms of the interest rate scenario? >> in terms of the interest rate scenario, probably nothing this year. i mean, we're at least a couple years away fr
. that means the lending is not going on. we're still at increasingly a low economy. if you buy back the dell, you don't go to the banks anymore. you find other sources of money. i think that the financial story and economic story is saying this is not the kind of financial environment that leads to rapid growth. >> interesting. >> okay. >> you tied it in to dell and jpmorgan and everything else. excellent. larry, thank you. >> my pleasure. >> join us tomorrow. "squawk on the street" begins right now. >>> good wednesday morning. welcome to "squawk on the street." i'm melissa lee with carl quintanilla, and jim cramer and david faber at the new york stock exchange. stocks had a pretty nice day yesterday. the s&p closed at five-year highs. we are looking to the down decide this morning. the dow looking to lose about 62 at the open. the picture in europe, a couple of downgrades for gdp forecasts from both the german government and world bank. italy is down by 1.5%. road map this morning starts off with the banks and earnings. jpmorgan higher. goldman sachs at 18-month highs. >> japan airlines gro
? how partisian politics are affecting legislation on capitol hill. the economy according to ben bernanke - what the fed chair has to say about the state of the country's finances. and, how automakers are setting a new pace for competition. plus, traders who are sweet and sour on apple. first business starts now. you're watching first business: financial news, analysis, and today's investment ideas. good morning. i'm angela miles. it's tuesday, january 15th. in today's first look: as facebook makes its big reveal on its new product today, shares briefly climbed above $32 yesterday. bloomberg news reports dell is in talks to end its trading days and go private. federal regulators order jp morgan chase to improve its risk management after losing billions in trading last year. and american airlines bond holders meet today to weigh in on whether the airline should merge with u.s. airways. ira epstein of the linn group joins us now. always a pleasure to have you on the show. what is going on with the market? it is so resilient. where is all this money coming from ira? > > think about
in the u.s., in germany and to an extent in the uk. >> the trouble is for all of those economies maybe some of the european ones are under pressure by the government. but the problem is, if you look at issues in the u.s., they're just so low. there's no ability to cut in the long-term. how do you push through entitlement reform and address those issues, especially if there's no market pressure right now? >> my sense is that you don't. i don't understand how that can be achieved and, therefore, i suppose what i struggle with is what solution can the government find? the bank of japan, if you monetize the debt in a low inflationary environment, is this a free lunch? >> right. >> in the uk, it has turned out to be a free lunch. would it in japan? possibly, yes, and, therefore, i wonder if these issues ever will be addressed. >> and what's so interesting, you're seeing these bizarre rates happening in a monetary policy. we feel like we're in a whole new regime where people feel like it doesn't matter at all. wondering if it matters at all how much you spend and borrow in these situations. how d
will be the gdp numbers. and that's when we find out what kind of economy we've got in the fourth quarter of last year. that will point towards how we're going to do in 2013. i suspect that that could move the market. all right. the bell is ringing, and as you know by now, if you're a regular "varney & company" viewer when the bell stops ringing, they start trading and we're expecting, what are we expecting? we're looking for a pretty flat market and i hate to keep saying this, but a pretty flat market. the dow closed yesterday around 13,500 and we're opening down 3 points at 13504. the opening trend is down. i looked at the futures and you can expect maybe a 40 or 50 point loss in the early going. no big negative that's out there, just a general drift away from 13-5 on the dow. we are in fact, just a couple of hours away from facebook's big announcement. that comes at one o'clock eastern. so, nicole, i am told that the big news could be a new search engine, could be. i'm not going to speculate on that, but i want to know where the stock opens this morning. >> that would be very big news and the
is the likelihood the u.s. economy could have a stronger here than economists were expecting? >> and excellent question. i think the risks are just as good on the outside or they are on the downside. there is a lot of growing momentum in the u.s. economy. all of this in then you have the energy boom in the whole shale thing helping in that industry and related industries. there are a lot of bright spots in the u.s. you know, the guys in washington do not mock it up, we have a good shot. melissa: we have breaking news right now. i want to point you to the shares of facebook. down $0.60. that is good for almost 2%. we have this meeting going on right now. it is a major reversal for the stock. we are trying to get more details out of this meeting. we will have rob enderle on at the end to talk about it. shibani: i am following a couple of live logs on the event. the three pillars of facebook. when he unveiled today is his 23 pillar which is being called graph search. it is a graphical search. it is not a web search. that is one of the reasons we are seeing a selloff of facebook shares. again, wha
of these moments where the world economies are going to be better. i say that because it is the same batehavior i've seen over d over and over again. they are days to buy, not sell. in order to get into this bull market, here is the bottom line, i think this market is simply taking a snooze after a big bull run. but wakes itself up perhaps with my clock and if history serves me right, they go higher not lower and it is turned out that their evaluations ended up being catalysts galore. bob in florida, bob >> it is fwrat to tais great to. south florida by way of teaneck, new jersey. i'm calling about krispy kreme donuts. i sold it and forgot about it and now it seems like they reinvented themselves. the stock is up 70% since mid november and still trading. even talk about take over. >> i believe there is a turn going on. it has been ages since i looked at it. the last time i looked at it i chipped my tooth. i will do more work on it and see where this one can stop. nobody does know. robert in massachusetts, robert. >> booyah jim, hail from massachusetts. >> fantastic. >> there you go pats i don't k
did. the fact is we still have a good fundamental backdrop. the economy is expanding. it's not contracting or growing. value sheets are strong and valuations are very attractive so what is there not to like? >> you're our resident skeptic today, and i would point not to the normal averages that we quote every day, but look at the dow transportation average which could close at an all-time high today. the transportation companies, often a leading indicator for the economy. if they are doing well. chances are the economy is going to get better. wouldn't that make you want to buy stocks right now. >> it does. we're not -- we're actually a little bit more bullish, esespecially the first six months of the year. we still are expecting slow growth, commodities where we're shorting assets, but in terms of u.s. and in terms of international, we do expect growth, and we are excited about what's happening, but later on in the year i think it's going to be another story. >> what do you mean by that, later on in the year? what's going to be the upset later on in the year? >> there's a
the debt ceiling or put the u.s. economy st. at risk. it's tuesday, january 15th, 2013 and "squawk box" begins right now. >>> good morning, everybody. welcome to "squawk box" here on cnbc. i'm becky quick along with joe kernen and andrew ross sorkin. we've been watching the u.s. equity futures and at least at this point you can see they do look like they're indicated to open a little lower. right now, dow futures down by about 16 points below fair value. the s&p futures are about 2 points below fair value. we have some different nebs going on at the top of the screen than we do on that fair value board. we'll check on that, as well. >>> dell is said to be in talks with private companies in reports of a possible guyout. the journal says jpmorgan is involved in the negotiations. dell shares have been soaring near an eight-month high on first word of this news yesterday. you can see up about close to 2% to the premarket sales. 64 is the last dip. in other technology news, facebook is holing a press conference today. no word on what the big announcement will be. you've heard a lot of analy
that is indeed worrisome. however, we are seeing some pretty good signs in the economy right now, so we're hopefully optimistic that they'll continue. and last thing anybody who's bet against america has proved it's a losing bet in the past. we're very bullish on this country. >> steve, thanks so much for your time. thank you for joining us first on cnbc. >> thank you. >>> interesting debate. meantime, goldman sachs making waves with the bonus pay joits. we'll get that in a moment. after the break, david faber's exclusive with mel karmazin. he's here to give us his very first interview since stepping down as the ceo of sirius xm. we're back in a couple of minutes. mine was earned in djibouti, africa, 2004. the battle of bataan, 1942. [ all ] fort benning, georgia, in 1999. [ male announcer ] usaa auto insurance is often handed down from generation to generation because it offers a superior level of protection and because usaa's commitment to serve the military, veterans, and their families is without equal. begin your legacy. get an auto-insurance quote. usaa. we know what it means to s
descending on the tiny ski town off davos, switzerland for the world economic forum. the economy will be front and center as the group's founder has warned the world has not yet escaped the risk of economic collapse? do we ever. we have davos covered all week long. you will not want to miss a minute with liz claman. she sits down with richard gelfond, imac ceo. that is right here on fox business. she has a slew of guests. all the all-stars. lori: want to take a trip to a warmer climate? southwest airlines announcing well, it might cost you a little more especially if you want to board early. a $40 fee guaranties passengers get to be one of the first 15 people in line to board. travelers who want to be first on the plane can purchase the option at the gate up to 45 minutes before boarding. but space is limited. only 15 of these early passes will be sold. southwest, the nation's most popular domestic airline already charges $10 for early bird check-in service but early bird service improves your spot in the boarding queue. doesn't guaranty a specific spot like the fee will and grab
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